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Today's signal  XML
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Admin



Joined: 06/01/2017 22:27:59
Messages: 49
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Another red day for xiv, however signal continue to be okay as of now.
Will the immigration ban only have short term effect on market? Let's wait and see.
Admin



Joined: 06/01/2017 22:27:59
Messages: 49
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After two days drop, today seems a comeback day for xiv. Stay tuned.
Admin



Joined: 06/01/2017 22:27:59
Messages: 49
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Xiv is down again today, however signal is still good. I think market will be doing okay for the next days.
thatoneguy



Joined: 02/02/2017 09:20:47
Messages: 1
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Any idea as to why XIV went down today? VIX moved down, the S&P was up, and F1-F2 Contago stayed strong... what was dragging XIV down?
larguirucho



Joined: 12/01/2017 19:15:09
Messages: 5
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thatoneguy wrote:Any idea as to why XIV went down today? VIX moved down, the S&P was up, and F1-F2 Contago stayed strong... what was dragging XIV down?


Today VIX dropped from 11.37 to 11.29 - but the front end VIX future (1M) jumped from 12.475 to 12.575. XIV shorts both 1M and 2M VIX futures, so any jump in futures translates into a drop in XIV. About 1%, which accounts for the decrease in XIV.

That, and there is the unavoidable tracking error caused by demand and supply - notice XIV dropped 0.7% but VXX jumped 1% (these should be the same but opposite in principle).
Admin



Joined: 06/01/2017 22:27:59
Messages: 49
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The past a few days were no good for xiv, sometimes market up, bit xiv down. However the signal looks very strong now, at least for the past two days.
Admin



Joined: 06/01/2017 22:27:59
Messages: 49
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larguirucho wrote:

Today VIX dropped from 11.37 to 11.29 - but the front end VIX future (1M) jumped from 12.475 to 12.575. XIV shorts both 1M and 2M VIX futures, so any jump in futures translates into a drop in XIV. About 1%, which accounts for the decrease in XIV.

That, and there is the unavoidable tracking error caused by demand and supply - notice XIV dropped 0.7% but VXX jumped 1% (these should be the same but opposite in principle).


You are right. XIV is not determined by VIX but determined by the combination of front month futures and second month futures. Sometimes the spot VIX can go down but front month futures go up that will cause XIV to go down.
Admin



Joined: 06/01/2017 22:27:59
Messages: 49
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Though little change on xiv price, the signal is very strong since 3 days including today.
Admin



Joined: 06/01/2017 22:27:59
Messages: 49
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People who hold xiv must be feeling good today, xiv is on the path to have good gain today. Signal is good, not really as strong as the past a few days.
Admin



Joined: 06/01/2017 22:27:59
Messages: 49
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The past a few days was really no pleasant for xiv, market didn't really move much, but xiv keeps going down. Today xiv and the market are doing well, however is it start of another rally or it's just a praise of down trend? We have yet to see, my sense is that it will be a up trend.
Admin



Joined: 06/01/2017 22:27:59
Messages: 49
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So far today xiv went up so much, however signal does not look promising, so keep watching the signals.
larguirucho



Joined: 12/01/2017 19:15:09
Messages: 5
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Yes, it's been a frustrating couple of weeks for XIV. Vol hasn't jumped by much, markets steady, and yet XIV has been down/flat. I don't mind it being down or flat if the markets drop or if vol spikes, but this is just frustrating.
Admin



Joined: 06/01/2017 22:27:59
Messages: 49
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larguirucho wrote:Yes, it's been a frustrating couple of weeks for XIV. Vol hasn't jumped by much, markets steady, and yet XIV has been down/flat. I don't mind it being down or flat if the markets drop or if vol spikes, but this is just frustrating.


If you were frustrated the last week, you should be happy the past 3 days, xiv up a lot while market didn't move much, or even down a bit.

Signal looks very nice in the past 3,4 days, still looks very nice. Hold on to your xiv for some more time, enjoy the gain.
Admin



Joined: 06/01/2017 22:27:59
Messages: 49
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Happy international woman's day!

Today is another day xiv going up big while market doesn't move much. My feeling is that this can't continue unless the market start going up too.

Anyway, signal still nice, hold on to your xiv for now.
Admin



Joined: 06/01/2017 22:27:59
Messages: 49
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My signal is still HOLD, it's been telling me to hold since it told me to BUY on November 14 (xivinvestment.com) at $39.1, almost make 100% profit if I'd sell now, after 5 months bought into it. But my signal still tells me to HOLD. So this is what I will do, to hold until it tells me to SELL.

It's really hard to trade XIV without a algorithm you can trust, and I believe you that there might be no algorithm exist that will work perfectly all the time for XIV. But as long as the algorithm can lead you to avoid the crash time, it'd be sufficient, this is what I am hoping my algorithm will do for me.

a week ago, when XIV kept going down, I almost had doubt about my signal which told me to HOLD during the downtime. However based on the history, I didn't lose my faith in it, so I HOLD it in the downtime, and I am really happy I held it.

Is now a time to sell? NO, absolutely not for me, I don't intend to sell on the peak, but I am not going to sell it when it keeps climbing up. You can differ from my point of view.
 
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